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League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Exeter City

Bolton
2 - 0
Exeter

Bradley (8'), Charles (26')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sparkes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Man Utd U21s
Tuesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Exeter City

 We think that Bolton will narrowly come out on top and keep their push for promotion from League One on the right track. The hosts are in better form, and we think they will create plenty of opportunities here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 62.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
62.99% (0.311 0.31) 20.87% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 16.14% (-0.251 -0.25)
Both teams to score 51.26% (-0.366 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.35% (-0.203 -0.2)44.65% (0.205 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.99% (-0.196 -0.2)67.01% (0.19800000000001 0.2)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.45% (0.028999999999996 0.03)13.55% (-0.028 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.37% (0.056000000000004 0.06)40.63% (-0.055 -0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.29% (-0.442 -0.44)40.71% (0.443 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.7% (-0.399 -0.4)77.3% (0.40000000000001 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 62.98%
    Exeter City 16.14%
    Draw 20.87%
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 11.02% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 11.01% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.34% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.67% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.47% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 62.98%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.51% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 1%
Total : 20.87%
0-1 @ 4.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.23% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 16.14%

How you voted: Bolton vs Exeter

Bolton Wanderers
64.3%
Draw
21.4%
Exeter City
14.3%
14
Head to Head
May 1, 2021 3pm
Bolton
1-2
Exeter
Jones (15')
Baptiste (32'), Williams (37')
Williams (49'), Sweeney (90+6')
Key (27'), Hartridge (29'), Willmott (42'), Taylor (79'), Sparkes (84')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Exeter
1-1
Bolton
Santos (62' og.)
Atangana (67')
Gnahoua (73')
Sarcevic (53'), Brockbank (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe27167452282455
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020
> League One Full Table


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