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Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
MK Dons

Portsmouth
0 - 2
MK Dons


Hackett-Fairchild (56'), Dale (58'), Ogilvie (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Johnson (34'), Tucker (64')
Jules (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 4-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, December 13 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Portsmouth 2-1 MK Dons

Although Portsmouth are winless in five league games, they are yet to lose at home this season, and we think they will beat an MK Dons side that have lost their last three away matches in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 17.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawMK Dons
59.67% (-0.379 -0.38) 22.83% (0.215 0.22) 17.5% (0.161 0.16)
Both teams to score 47.91% (-0.335 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.42% (-0.609 -0.61)50.58% (0.607 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.5% (-0.541 -0.54)72.5% (0.53800000000001 0.54)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (-0.34399999999999 -0.34)16.59% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.6% (-0.619 -0.62)46.39% (0.615 0.62)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.44% (-0.165 -0.16)42.56% (0.16099999999999 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.08% (-0.139 -0.14)78.92% (0.136 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 59.66%
    MK Dons 17.5%
    Draw 22.83%
PortsmouthDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 12.68% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 11.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.82% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.06% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 59.66%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.171 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 22.83%
0-1 @ 6.03% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 4.63% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.32%
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 17.5%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs MK Dons

Portsmouth
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
MK Dons
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Portsmouth
3-2
MK Dons
Hackett-Fairchild (22'), Bishop (35' pen., 48' pen.)
Burns (19'), Eisa (61')
McEachran (38')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
1-2
MK Dons
Hirst (60')
Hirst (32'), Marquis (90+7')
Eisa (20'), Corbeanu (45')
Robson (52'), Harvie (90+8')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
MK Dons
1-0
Portsmouth
Fraser (41' pen.)
Lewington (31'), Jules (69')

Daniels (19'), Byers (90+4')
Whatmough (81')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Portsmouth
2-1
MK Dons
Naylor (2'), Harrison (23' pen.)
Naylor (88')
Fraser (12' pen.)
Lewington (68'), Jerome (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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