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Championship header 2

League One
Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Burton Albion

Fleetwood
2 - 3
Burton Albion

Stockley (58'), Omochere (90+4')
Vela (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oshilaja (60'), Hamer (80'), Kirk (90+6')
Ashworth (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-1 Burton Albion

 Games involving Fleetwood Town always seem to be tight affairs, and that is why we expect them to play out a draw against Burton Albion on Saturday. The Brewers were very impressive in their victory against Oxford United last time out, but the sides are very evenly-matched, and it is unlikely either team runs away with it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawBurton Albion
44.26% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 25.61% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 30.13% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.76% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)49.99% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)71.97% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.47% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)22.53% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.89% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)56.11% (0.07 0.07)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39% (-0.012 -0.01)30.61% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.16% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)66.84% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 44.25%
    Burton Albion 30.13%
    Draw 25.6%
Fleetwood TownDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 44.25%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 30.13%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Burton Albion
0-1
Fleetwood

Oshilaja (19')
Macadam (34')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Burton Albion
3-2
Fleetwood
Niasse (61', 90'), Moult (84')
Hamer (37')
Oshilaja (18' og.), Butterworth (57')
Nsiala (14'), Garner (36')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Fleetwood
1-2
Burton Albion
Garner (12')
Clarke (70')
Powell (14'), Jebbison (77')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Fleetwood
0-1
Burton Albion
O'Connor (36')
Blake-Tracy (33'), Borthwick-Jackson (84')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Burton Albion
5-2
Fleetwood
Akins (35'), Powell (39'), Hamer (73'), Hemmings (85', 90+5')
Earl (27'), Hemmings (74'), Taylor (78')
Finley (62'), Rossiter (90+2')
Biggins (45+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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