League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Burton Albion3 - 2Fleetwood
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Wycombe
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Cheltenham Town | 46 | -14 | 56 |
| 16 | Burton Albion | 46 | -16 | 53 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 46 | -8 | 52 |
Last Game: Bolton 4-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Morecambe | 46 | -31 | 42 |
| 20 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | -20 | 40 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 46 | -34 | 40 |
We said: Burton Albion 2-2 Fleetwood Town
Given both sides' struggles for victories recently, we see a draw as the most likely outcome. They will each see it as a good opportunity to reverse their fortunes and chances could be abundant, given their shared defensive frailties, but we ultimately expect them to cancel one another out. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 51.11% | 24.3% | 24.59% |
| Both teams to score 53.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
