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Championship header 2

League One
Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
MK Dons

Plymouth
3 - 1
MK Dons

Wilson (4'), Ennis (37'), Whittaker (53')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Holland (19')
Tucker (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Wycombe
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

MK Dons

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 MK Dons
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 MK Dons

 In a match with consequences at both ends of the table, we expect both sides to compete with vigour as they seek a crucial three points for different reasons. Despite this, it is impossible to envisage anything other than a comfortable Plymouth victory that will keep their quest for promotion on the right track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMK Dons
57.31% (0.63500000000001 0.64) 22.68% (-0.21 -0.21) 20.01% (-0.425 -0.43)
Both teams to score 52.75% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.64% (0.337 0.34)46.36% (-0.338 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.35% (0.315 0.32)68.65% (-0.318 -0.32)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.07% (0.33499999999999 0.33)15.93% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.82% (0.613 0.61)45.18% (-0.614 -0.61)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.74% (-0.246 -0.25)37.26% (0.244 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (-0.243 -0.24)74.05% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 57.3%
    MK Dons 20.01%
    Draw 22.68%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 10.9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.01% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.13% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.82% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.068 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.025 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.043 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 57.3%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.68%
0-1 @ 5.86% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-2 @ 5.31% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.89% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 20.01%

How you voted: Plymouth vs MK Dons

Plymouth Argyle
90.3%
Draw
0.0%
MK Dons
9.7%
31
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
MK Dons
1-4
Plymouth
Grigg (49')
Robson (70')
Whittaker (9'), Ennis (25'), Azaz (37', 59')
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Plymouth
0-5
MK Dons

Wilson (32'), Houghton (42')
Houghton (45+2')
Twine (17', 40', 60', 77'), Darling (43')
Dec 8, 2021 7.45pm
MK Dons
1-1
Plymouth
Watson (21')
Grant (66')
Houghton (53'), Wilson (73')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
MK Dons
2-1
Plymouth
Jerome (22'), Fraser (89' pen.)
Jerome (62'), O'Hora (76')
Grant (61')
Mayor (45'), Edwards (89')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
1-0
MK Dons
Hardie (68')
Watts (80')

Keogh (34'), Sorensen (44'), Kasumu (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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