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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Forest Green Rovers

MK Dons
1 - 0
Forest Green

Harvie (58')
O'Hora (19'), McEachran (64'), Tucker (77'), Johnson (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Little (76'), Casey (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between MK Dons and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 0-3 Leicester
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Forest Green Rovers

The side with just one home win this season welcomes visitors with just one win on the road, so we are expecting this to be a tight and cagey relegation scrap. Optimism is high for the arrival of a promising new coach for the Dons, but Forest Green's two wins in their last three proves that they are up for the fight, and that they should be able to secure at least a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 54.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawForest Green Rovers
54.86% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 22.85% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 22.3% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.6% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.78% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)44.22% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.4% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)66.6% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.99% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)16.01% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.66% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)45.34% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)33.81% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.53% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)70.47% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 54.86%
    Forest Green Rovers 22.3%
    Draw 22.84%
MK DonsDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.08% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.55% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 54.86%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.84%
0-1 @ 5.87% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 22.3%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Forest Green

MK Dons
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Forest Green Rovers
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
1-1
Forest Green
Aneke (31')
Cisse (89')
Reid (80' pen.)
Gunning (52')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Forest Green
0-1
MK Dons
Ariyibi (110')
Cisse (28'), Ebanks-Landell (37'), Williams (45'), Downing (112')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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