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League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Exeter City

Ipswich
6 - 0
Exeter

Chaplin (8', 32'), Luongo (16'), Hirst (22'), Broadhead (28' pen.), Burns (47')
Clarke (57'), Burgess (88')
FT(HT: 5-0)

Mitchell (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Ipswich Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-3 Ipswich
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Ipswich Town 2-0 Exeter City

Ipswich have been solid all season, but their performances have gone up a level since February, keeping clean sheets in 12 of their last 14 matches. McKenna's side have proven they have what it takes to win promotion with their recent victories against Barnsley and Peterborough, and we expect them to get over the line on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 79.79%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 7.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawExeter City
79.79% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 12.99% (0.036 0.04) 7.21% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.61% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.96% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)32.03% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.39% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)53.6% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.74% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)6.25% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.41% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)23.59% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.85% (0.022999999999996 0.02)48.14% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)83.34% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 79.78%
    Exeter City 7.21%
    Draw 12.99%
Ipswich TownDrawExeter City
2-0 @ 11.56%
3-0 @ 10.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 7.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
5-0 @ 4.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 79.78%
1-1 @ 6.1% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.09% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.01% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 12.99%
1-2 @ 2.23% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.2% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 7.21%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Exeter

Ipswich Town
100%
Draw
0.0%
Exeter City
0.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 12pm
gameweek 19
Exeter
0-2
Ipswich

Sparkes (45+1')
Ladapo (11'), Harness (68')
Jan 4, 2020 3pm
Jan 4, 2020 3pm
Round of 16
Exeter
2-1
Ipswich
Ajose (45'), Martin (93')
Jay (35')
Keane (57')
Keane (41'), Woolfenden (60'), Nsiala (91')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Exeter
1-1
Ipswich
Exeter win 4-2 on penalties
Brown (64')
Taylor (67')
Jackson (37')
Knudsen (82'), Nsiala (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe27167452282455
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020


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