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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
36.46% ( 0.57) | 26.78% ( 0) | 36.75% ( -0.57) |
Both teams to score 51.62% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.52% ( 0) | 53.48% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25% ( 0) | 75% |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.76% ( 0.34) | 28.23% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.06% ( 0.43) | 63.94% ( -0.43) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.93% ( -0.33) | 28.06% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.28% ( -0.42) | 63.72% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
1-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.76% Total : 36.46% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 7.92% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.81% Total : 36.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 63 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 59 |
3 | Wrexham | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 50 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 48 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Reading | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 44 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 44 |
10 | Barnsley | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 43 |
11 | Stevenage | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Blackpool | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 38 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 34 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 32 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 31 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 30 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 30 |
21 | Burton Albion | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 25 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 24 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 23 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
> League One Full Table |