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League One
Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
LNER Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Lincoln
1 - 0
Shrewsbury

Virtue (72')
O'Connor (26'), Erhahon (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Flanagan (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Morecambe 3-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Shrewsbury Town

 Lincoln will be looking to end their campaign on a high note, and they will be confident of doing that against a Shrewsbury side who also have nothing tangible to play for. The visitors ended a poor run of form last time out, but we cannot imagine Cotterill's side earning a final-day victory in this one - albeit a point could be likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 49.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 24.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lincoln City in this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawShrewsbury Town
49.24% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 26.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 24.61% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.52% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)55.48% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.33% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)76.67% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)22.58% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82% (-0.052 -0.05)56.18% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.06% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)37.94% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.29% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)74.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 49.23%
    Shrewsbury Town 24.61%
    Draw 26.15%
Lincoln CityDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-0 @ 9.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 49.23%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.99% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 24.61%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 20
Shrewsbury
2-0
Lincoln
Leahy (45' pen.), Bayliss (60')
Dunkley (10')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 40
Shrewsbury
1-0
Lincoln
Udoh (84')
Leahy (22'), Bennett (51'), Vela (62')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 16
Lincoln
1-1
Shrewsbury
McGrandles (43')
Fiorini (13'), Poole (89')
Leahy (50')
Udoh (30'), Whalley (80')
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
First Round
Shrewsbury
2-2
Lincoln
 Shrewsbury win 4-2 on penalties
Udoh (69', 79')
Hopper (49'), Bishop (52')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
gameweek 24
Shrewsbury
0-1
Lincoln

Norburn (3'), Whalley (23'), Davis (45+3'), Vela (82'), Ebanks-Landell (89')
Grant (11')
Rogers (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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