We said: Mansfield Town 0-1 Huddersfield Town
While Mansfield Town suffered a fourth straight defeat on Tuesday, they did lead 1-0 away at a strong Bolton side until Hiram Boateng's second-half red card and will certainly pose a tough test for Huddersfield.
The visitors are beginning to show their quality, though, and with momentum growing, we back Duff's men to take all three points from a tight encounter at the One Call Stadium.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huddersfield Town win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huddersfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Huddersfield Town would win this match.