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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 15.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Burton Albion |
64.13% ( 0.02) | 19.99% ( -0.01) | 15.88% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.66% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.82% ( 0.02) | 41.18% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.43% ( 0.02) | 63.57% ( -0.02) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.85% ( 0.01) | 12.15% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.24% ( 0.02) | 37.76% ( -0.02) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.08% ( -0) | 38.92% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.35% | 75.65% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Burton Albion |
2-0 @ 10.5% 1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.38% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 3.63% Total : 64.12% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.99% | 0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.47% 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 15.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 38 |
2 | Wrexham | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 34 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 33 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Barnsley | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Reading | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 27 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 23 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 20 |
16 | Blackpool | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 20 |
17 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 8 |
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