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League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Burton Albion

Peterborough
4 - 0
Burton Albion

Randall (6'), Mason-Clark (44'), Stockton (61' og.), Poku (66')
Jade-Jones (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Helm (9'), Oshilaja (37'), Stockton (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Burton Albion

Burton are certainly capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Peterborough despite their recent problems, and we are expecting a close game in terms of the scoreline. Peterborough have been in strong form in the league, though, and we are backing them to emerge victorious here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 15.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawBurton Albion
64.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 19.99% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 15.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (0.017000000000003 0.02)41.18% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.43% (0.017000000000003 0.02)63.57% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)12.15% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.24% (0.021000000000001 0.02)37.76% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)38.92% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.35%75.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 64.12%
    Burton Albion 15.88%
    Draw 19.99%
Peterborough UnitedDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 10.5%
1-0 @ 9.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 64.12%
1-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.99%
0-1 @ 4.46% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.47%
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 15.88%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Burton Albion

Peterborough United
100%
Draw
0.0%
Burton Albion
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Burton Albion
2-5
Peterborough
Powell (28'), Smith (54')
Clarke-Harris (12', 51'), Mason-Clark (19'), Burrows (38'), Ward (64')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Burton Albion
2-1
Peterborough
Hemmings (54'), Carter (58')
Smith (6'), Brayford (68'), Carter (90+3')
Burrows (90+4')
Beevers (57')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Peterborough
2-2
Burton Albion
Clarke-Harris (10'), Ward (48')
Mason (89')
Hemmings (32', 60')
Gilligan (58'), Akins (62'), O'Toole (71')
Sep 8, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Peterborough
3-3
Burton Albion
Peterborough win 5-4 on penalties
Clarke (3'), Reed (23'), Mason (68')
Reed (90'), Hamilton (90+6')
Lawless (44'), Powell (52', 55')
Wallace (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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