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Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 18
Dec 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Burton Albion

Peterborough
0 - 1
Burton Albion

FT(HT: 0-0)
Bennett (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Peterborough United 4-1 Burton Albion

With a habit of smashing relegation-threatened teams at home, a dangerous Peterborough side should have no issues putting Burton to bed on Wednesday night. The Brewers are still sore from their FA Cup defeat to non-league Tamworth, so it is hard to imagine the visitors earning anything from their daunting trip to Weston Homes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 58.06%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 21.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 1-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawBurton Albion
58.06% (1.324 1.32) 20.48% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 21.46% (-1.416 -1.42)
Both teams to score 62.79% (-2.442 -2.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.79% (-2.278 -2.28)34.2% (2.271 2.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.9% (-2.617 -2.62)56.1% (2.612 2.61)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31% (-0.363 -0.36)11.69% (0.356 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.22% (-0.78 -0.78)36.77% (0.772 0.77)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (-2.468 -2.47)28.9% (2.46 2.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (-3.169 -3.17)64.77% (3.164 3.16)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 58.06%
    Burton Albion 21.46%
    Draw 20.48%
Peterborough UnitedDrawBurton Albion
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.211 0.21)
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.679 0.68)
1-0 @ 7.25% (0.728 0.73)
3-1 @ 6.91% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.57% (0.413 0.41)
3-2 @ 4.29% (-0.272 -0.27)
4-1 @ 3.71% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.181 0.18)
4-2 @ 2.3% (-0.182 -0.18)
5-1 @ 1.59% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.06 0.06)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 58.06%
1-1 @ 9% (0.323 0.32)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 3.38% (0.382 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.248 -0.25)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 20.48%
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-1 @ 4.19% (0.209 0.21)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.307 -0.31)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.248 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 21.46%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Burton Albion

Peterborough United
Draw
Burton Albion
Peterborough United
77.4%
Draw
19.4%
Burton Albion
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Burton Albion
1-3
Peterborough
Ola-Adebomi (70')
Oshilaja (46'), Hamer (87')
Jade-Jones (56'), Knight (88'), Clarke-Harris (90+6')
Katongo (61')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Peterborough
4-0
Burton Albion
Randall (6'), Mason-Clark (44'), Stockton (61' og.), Poku (66')
Jade-Jones (52')

Helm (9'), Oshilaja (37'), Stockton (54')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Burton Albion
2-5
Peterborough
Powell (28'), Smith (54')
Clarke-Harris (12', 51'), Mason-Clark (19'), Burrows (38'), Ward (64')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Burton Albion
2-1
Peterborough
Hemmings (54'), Carter (58')
Smith (6'), Brayford (68'), Carter (90+3')
Burrows (90+4')
Beevers (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham36258359243583
2Wrexham38228852302274
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe372011664362871
4Charlton AthleticCharlton381991049351466
5Stockport CountyStockport381811953351865
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield371871252341861
7Bolton WanderersBolton37186135955460
8Reading371611105246659
9Leyton Orient371751553381556
10Blackpool381315105750754
11Barnsley38158155254-253
12Lincoln CityLincoln381311145345850
13Stevenage371310143538-349
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham37129164245-345
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough37129165660-445
16Exeter CityExeter37129164051-1145
17Mansfield TownMansfield37128174351-844
18Wigan AthleticWigan361110153336-343
19Northampton TownNorthampton381012163756-1942
20Bristol Rovers38126203961-2242
21Burton Albion37812173853-1536
22Crawley TownCrawley3889214071-3133
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3879223662-2630
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3777233462-2828


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