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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 51.94%. A win for Reading had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Reading |
51.94% ( -0.06) | 20.57% ( 0.01) | 27.49% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 69.92% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.97% ( -0.02) | 28.03% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.22% ( -0.02) | 48.78% ( 0.02) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.65% ( -0.02) | 11.35% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.96% ( -0.05) | 36.04% ( 0.05) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.86% ( 0.02) | 21.13% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.02% ( 0.03) | 53.98% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Reading |
2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.98% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 51.94% | 1-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.58% 0-0 @ 2.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.57% | 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 27.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |