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League One
Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Burton Albion

Cambridge
1 - 0
Burton Albion

Cousins (84')
Bennett (39'), Andrew (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bennett (5'), Watt (23'), Bodin (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 0-2 Cambridge
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-3 Wycombe
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 2-1 Burton Albion

 Cambridge will have a renewed sense of belief after recording back-to-back victories, and we think that they will continue to build momentum by claiming a narrow home victory to condemn their relegation rivals to a seventh consecutive league defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cambridge United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cambridge United.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawBurton Albion
41.64% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 26.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 31.92% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.91% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.25% (0.012 0.01)52.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.62% (0.010999999999999 0.01)74.38% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97% (0.016000000000005 0.02)25.02% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.31% (0.021000000000001 0.02)59.69% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)30.76% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)67.03% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 41.64%
    Burton Albion 31.92%
    Draw 26.43%
Cambridge UnitedDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 10.66%
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 41.64%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 31.92%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Burton Albion

Cambridge United
50.0%
Draw
38.9%
Burton Albion
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Cambridge
0-0
Burton Albion
Harris (21'), Morrison (45+1'), Andrew (56'), Taylor (90+4'), Lankester (90+10')
Moon (20'), Seddon (64'), Oshilaja (69'), Carayol (74'), Bennett (87'), Crocombe (90+7')
Seddon (64')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Burton Albion
2-1
Cambridge
Walker (10'), Oshilaja (31')
Baah (53'), Bennett (90')
Okenabirhie (67')
> Preview
May 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Burton Albion
1-0
Cambridge
Helm (28')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cambridge
4-3
Burton Albion
Smith (34', 53', 69'), O'Neil (79')
Digby (38'), Lankester (90+6')
Ahadme (1', 67'), Brayford (41')
Hamer (19'), Ahadme (27'), Brayford (51'), Borthwick-Jackson (90+7')
Smith (10')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Burton Albion
2-2
Cambridge
Yahyai (2' pen.), Kokolo (62')
Gilligan (24')
Knibbs (25'), Smith (72')
Sherring (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe24156350262451
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield23135536191744
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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