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League One
Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Burton Albion

Cambridge
1 - 0
Burton Albion

Cousins (84')
Bennett (39'), Andrew (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bennett (5'), Watt (23'), Bodin (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 0-2 Cambridge
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-3 Wycombe
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 2-1 Burton Albion

 Cambridge will have a renewed sense of belief after recording back-to-back victories, and we think that they will continue to build momentum by claiming a narrow home victory to condemn their relegation rivals to a seventh consecutive league defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cambridge United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cambridge United.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawBurton Albion
41.64% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 26.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 31.92% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.91% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.25% (0.012 0.01)52.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.62% (0.010999999999999 0.01)74.38% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97% (0.016000000000005 0.02)25.02% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.31% (0.021000000000001 0.02)59.69% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)30.76% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)67.03% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 41.64%
    Burton Albion 31.92%
    Draw 26.43%
Cambridge UnitedDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 10.66%
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 41.64%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 31.92%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Burton Albion

Cambridge United
50.0%
Draw
38.9%
Burton Albion
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Cambridge
0-0
Burton Albion
Harris (21'), Morrison (45+1'), Andrew (56'), Taylor (90+4'), Lankester (90+10')
Moon (20'), Seddon (64'), Oshilaja (69'), Carayol (74'), Bennett (87'), Crocombe (90+7')
Seddon (64')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Burton Albion
2-1
Cambridge
Walker (10'), Oshilaja (31')
Baah (53'), Bennett (90')
Okenabirhie (67')
> Preview
May 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Burton Albion
1-0
Cambridge
Helm (28')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cambridge
4-3
Burton Albion
Smith (34', 53', 69'), O'Neil (79')
Digby (38'), Lankester (90+6')
Ahadme (1', 67'), Brayford (41')
Hamer (19'), Ahadme (27'), Brayford (51'), Borthwick-Jackson (90+7')
Smith (10')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Burton Albion
2-2
Cambridge
Yahyai (2' pen.), Kokolo (62')
Gilligan (24')
Knibbs (25'), Smith (72')
Sherring (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148
> League One Full Table


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