We said: Lincoln City 0-1 Barnsley
The sides have met four times in the 21st century, and the home side on the day is still yet to score, including in a 0-0 draw here last season.
Barnsley's decent defensive record suggests that record could continue in a game they may just edge to return to winning ways in the league.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.