MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:54:08| >> :600:1097311:1097311:
Port Vale
EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals
Dec 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Middlesbrough logo

Port Vale
0 - 3
Middlesbrough


Balmer (50'), Loft (60'), Iacovitti (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Howson (11'), Rogers (23'), Crooks (53')
Clarke (4'), Rogers (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Port Vale and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 3-2 Wigan
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Port Vale 1-3 Middlesbrough

For the first time in their cup run, Port Vale will go up against a team from a higher division, and we think that the gulf in quality could help Middlesbrough claim a relatively comfortable victory to seal their place the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawMiddlesbrough
34.52% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 24.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 40.79% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 58.55% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.51% (0.027999999999999 0.03)44.49% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.14% (0.027999999999999 0.03)66.86% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (0.058999999999997 0.06)25.11% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (0.085000000000001 0.09)59.81% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)21.81% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.97% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)55.03% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 34.52%
    Middlesbrough 40.79%
    Draw 24.68%
Port ValeDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.96% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.23% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.52%
1-1 @ 11.52%
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.48% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.68%
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.08%
1-4 @ 1.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 40.79%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Middlesbrough

Port Vale
34.4%
Draw
6.6%
Middlesbrough
59.0%
61
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!