Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.