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League One | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Port Vale

Peterborough
3 - 0
Port Vale

Clarke-Harris (26', 36'), Ward (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Massey (47'), Harrison (51'), Jones (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Spurs U21s
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-4 Port Vale
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Peterborough United 1-1 Port Vale

While the two sides have experienced contrasting runs of form in recent weeks, a closely-fought contest is to be expected on Saturday. Peterborough will fancy their chances of returning to winning ways on home soil, but we can see the points being shared on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawPort Vale
47.37% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 25.01% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 27.61% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 54.05% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)48.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)70.95% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34% (0.033999999999992 0.03)20.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.76% (0.057000000000002 0.06)53.24% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)31.87% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.69% (-0.07 -0.07)68.31% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 47.37%
    Port Vale 27.61%
    Draw 25.01%
Peterborough UnitedDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 47.37%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.58%
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 27.61%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Port Vale

Peterborough United
64.7%
Draw
29.4%
Port Vale
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Port Vale
0-3
Peterborough

Smith (11'), Pugh (73')
Maddison (20'), Morias (90', 95')
Da Silva Lopes (57'), Edwards (58'), Nichols (75')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
2-2
Port Vale
Moncur (8', 84')
da Silva Lopes (57'), Bostwick (73'), Taylor (95')
Hughes (94')
Jones (6', 94')
Grant (14'), Paterson (45'), Jones (58')
Mar 12, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
2-3
Port Vale
Taylor (2'), Williams (41')
Baldwin (45'), Bostwick (72')
Moore (49'), Hooper (86'), Dodds (89')
Grant (55'), O'Connor (70')
Oct 17, 2015 3pm
Jan 17, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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