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League One | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Port Vale

Peterborough
3 - 0
Port Vale

Clarke-Harris (26', 36'), Ward (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Massey (47'), Harrison (51'), Jones (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Spurs U21s
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-4 Port Vale
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Peterborough United 1-1 Port Vale

While the two sides have experienced contrasting runs of form in recent weeks, a closely-fought contest is to be expected on Saturday. Peterborough will fancy their chances of returning to winning ways on home soil, but we can see the points being shared on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawPort Vale
47.37% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 25.01% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 27.61% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 54.05% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)48.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)70.95% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34% (0.033999999999992 0.03)20.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.76% (0.057000000000002 0.06)53.24% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)31.87% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.69% (-0.07 -0.07)68.31% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 47.37%
    Port Vale 27.61%
    Draw 25.01%
Peterborough UnitedDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 47.37%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.58%
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 27.61%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Port Vale

Peterborough United
64.7%
Draw
29.4%
Port Vale
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Port Vale
0-3
Peterborough

Smith (11'), Pugh (73')
Maddison (20'), Morias (90', 95')
Da Silva Lopes (57'), Edwards (58'), Nichols (75')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
2-2
Port Vale
Moncur (8', 84')
da Silva Lopes (57'), Bostwick (73'), Taylor (95')
Hughes (94')
Jones (6', 94')
Grant (14'), Paterson (45'), Jones (58')
Mar 12, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
2-3
Port Vale
Taylor (2'), Williams (41')
Baldwin (45'), Bostwick (72')
Moore (49'), Hooper (86'), Dodds (89')
Grant (55'), O'Connor (70')
Oct 17, 2015 3pm
Jan 17, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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