EFL Trophy | Third Round
Dec 20, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Salford City1 - 0Port Vale
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Third Round clash between Salford City and Port Vale.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gillingham 0-3 Salford City
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in League Two
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Port Vale
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Port Vale |
30.96% ( -1.03) | 25.53% | 43.5% ( 1.03) |
Both teams to score 54.43% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.68% ( -0.37) | 49.31% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.63% ( -0.33) | 71.36% ( 0.33) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.31% ( -0.87) | 29.69% ( 0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.26% ( -1.06) | 65.74% ( 1.07) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.4% ( 0.33) | 22.59% ( -0.34) |