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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Charlton Athletic

Port Vale
1 - 0
Charlton

Butterworth (58')
Benning (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sessegnon (5'), Inniss (72'), Aneke (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-0 Port Vale
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Charlton Athletic

While their head-to-head record does not make for strong reading, Port Vale are within touching distance of Charlton and will have the chance to jump ahead of them in the table. It is unlikely to happen this weekend, with the kamikaze Charlton best placed to take the win on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawCharlton Athletic
43.98% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03) 26.25%29.77% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.52% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2% (0.010000000000005 0.01)52.8% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.58% (0.009999999999998 0.01)74.42% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (-0.012 -0.01)58.07% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (0.024999999999991 0.02)32.31% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.18% (0.029 0.03)68.82% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 43.98%
    Charlton Athletic 29.77%
    Draw 26.25%
Port ValeDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.98%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 8.72% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 29.77%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Charlton

Port Vale
41.0%
Draw
23.1%
Charlton Athletic
35.9%
78
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2016 3pm
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-1
Charlton
Jones (85' pen.)
Tavares (81')
Ulvestad (30')
Holmes (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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