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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Burton Albion |
56.52% ( -0.57) | 22.64% ( 0.2) | 20.84% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 54.18% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.91% ( -0.41) | 45.09% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.56% ( -0.39) | 67.44% ( 0.39) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.25% ( -0.33) | 15.75% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.14% ( -0.62) | 44.86% ( 0.62) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.31% ( 0.14) | 35.69% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.54% ( 0.14) | 72.46% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Burton Albion |
1-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.43% Total : 56.52% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.63% | 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.88% Total : 20.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 38 |
2 | Wrexham | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 34 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 33 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Barnsley | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Reading | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 27 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 23 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 20 |
16 | Blackpool | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 20 |
17 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |