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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 26.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Rotherham United |
46.29% ( 0.7) | 27.23% ( -0.43) | 26.49% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 46.64% ( 0.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.9% ( 1.34) | 58.1% ( -1.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.24% ( 1.04) | 78.76% ( -1.04) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.91% ( 0.96) | 25.09% ( -0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.21% ( 1.3) | 59.79% ( -1.3) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.26% ( 0.51) | 37.74% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.49% ( 0.49) | 74.51% ( -0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Rotherham United |
1-0 @ 13.09% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.26% Total : 46.28% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.67% Total : 26.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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