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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Rotherham logo

Birmingham
2 - 0
Rotherham

Khadra (5'), Long (35')
Trusty (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Odofin (29'), Hjelde (45+2'), Fosu (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 3-1 QPR
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Rotherham United

Birmingham have not been convincing in their performances for a long time, with their good early-season form the reason why they are not in more danger at the foot of the Championship. Despite a lack of options in defence, the Millers have shown enough quality to survive at this level and should be confident of earning a point at St Andrew's on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 26.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawRotherham United
46.29% (0.70399999999999 0.7) 27.23% (-0.427 -0.43) 26.49% (-0.271 -0.27)
Both teams to score 46.64% (0.967 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.9% (1.337 1.34)58.1% (-1.333 -1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24% (1.039 1.04)78.76% (-1.035 -1.04)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (0.95500000000001 0.96)25.09% (-0.951 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.21% (1.301 1.3)59.79% (-1.297 -1.3)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.26% (0.508 0.51)37.74% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (0.491 0.49)74.51% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 46.28%
    Rotherham United 26.49%
    Draw 27.22%
Birmingham CityDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 13.09% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.156 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.129 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.18 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.114 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.083 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.491 -0.49)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.346 -0.35)
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 26.49%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Rotherham

Birmingham City
51.7%
Draw
24.1%
Rotherham United
24.1%
29
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Rotherham
2-0
Birmingham
Wood (28', 71')
Rathbone (41')

Deeney (41'), James (45+2')
Apr 18, 2021 12pm
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
1-1
Rotherham
Bela (90' pen.)
Sunjic (72')
Sadlier (87' pen.)
MacDonald (45+1')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Rotherham
1-3
Birmingham
Crooks (22')
Ajayi (5'), Wood (50'), Vaulks (73')
Maghoma (56'), Jota (63'), Mrabti (93')
Gardner (75')
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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