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League One | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Burton Albion

Rotherham
2 - 2
Burton Albion

Clarke-Harris (39'), C (57')
Odofin (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Orsi (25'), Cooper Love (71')
Vancooten (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Rotherham
Saturday, September 7 at 3.10pm in League One

We said: Rotherham United 1-0 Burton Albion

After losing to Wycombe and Fleetwood last month, Rotherham showed enough improvement over their last two matches to suggest that they could edge this one, against an opponent who have not found the back of the net in almost 200 minutes of playing time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 47.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 25.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawBurton Albion
47.39% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 26.74% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 25.86% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.5% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.26% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)56.74% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.31% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)77.69% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)23.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)58.2% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.47% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)37.53% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.69% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)74.31% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 47.39%
    Burton Albion 25.86%
    Draw 26.74%
Rotherham UnitedDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 12.84% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.18% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 47.39%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.99% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 8.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 25.86%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Burton Albion

Rotherham United
66.7%
Draw
20.0%
Burton Albion
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 44
Burton Albion
2-0
Rotherham
Borthwick-Jackson (3'), Brayford (69')
Kokolo (45'), Hamer (73')

Wood (52'), Rathbone (68')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Rotherham
3-1
Burton Albion
Ladapo (24', 48'), Barlaser (84')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Rotherham
3-2
Burton Albion
Smith (9', 46'), Ladapo (71')
Ladapo (93')
Murphy (7'), Sarkic (47')
Sarkic (32')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Dec 29, 2016 7.45pm
Rotherham
1-2
Burton Albion
Adeyemi (45')
Frecklington (33'), Ward (88'), Fisher (95')
O'Grady (36'), Irvine (41')
McFadzean (13'), Palmer (75'), McCrory (77'), Barker (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Reading199463028231
7Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
8Barnsley208662926330
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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