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League One | Gameweek 22
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Peterborough
2 - 1
Shrewsbury

Clarke-Harris (17'), Kent (87')
Kyprianou (67'), Norris (90+2'), Norburn (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Flanagan (21')
Pyke (38'), Flanagan (62'), Saydee (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 2-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 1-1 Shrewsbury Town

While the two sides are in vastly different runs of form, we do not see Shrewsbury taking all three points away from home and instead predict them forcing a commendable draw against a Peterborough team who possess more quality but are far from their best. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 20.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
55.24% (0.581 0.58) 24.35% (-0.255 -0.25) 20.41% (-0.327 -0.33)
Both teams to score 48.26% (0.276 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35% (0.607 0.61)52.64% (-0.61 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71% (0.519 0.52)74.29% (-0.521 -0.52)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.04% (0.45800000000001 0.46)18.96% (-0.46 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.51% (0.75700000000001 0.76)50.48% (-0.759 -0.76)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.55% (0.0020000000000024 0)40.45% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)77.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 55.24%
    Shrewsbury Town 20.41%
    Draw 24.35%
Peterborough UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 12.75% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 10.6% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.88% (0.113 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.32% (0.103 0.1)
4-0 @ 2.44% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 1% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 55.24%
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 7.67% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 6.94% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-2 @ 5.22% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 20.41%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Shrewsbury

Peterborough United
66.7%
Draw
18.2%
Shrewsbury Town
15.2%
33
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Shrewsbury
3-1
Peterborough
Bayliss (2'), Pennington (35'), Leahy (45+7' pen.)
Street (27')
Poku (13')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Peterborough
5-1
Shrewsbury
Clarke-Harris (16' pen.), Dembele (42', 69', 80'), Taylor (88')
Brown (50'), Szmodics (84')
Daniels (18')
Burgoyne (16'), Norburn (58'), Ebanks-Landell (77')
Vela (45+2')
Nov 5, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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