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League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Bolton logo

Birmingham
2 - 0
Bolton

Iwata (3'), Stansfield (86' pen.)
Klarer (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dempsey (18'), Cogley (24'), Matete (39'), McAtee (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 1-3 Birmingham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 3-1 Bolton Wanderers

Birmingham have taken 25 points from a possible 30 in League One this season, and while Bolton have put together a five-game unbeaten league run, we think that the hosts will showcase their quality to claim a fifth consecutive home victory in the third tier. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBolton Wanderers
42.46% (-0.881 -0.88) 24.56% (0.108 0.11) 32.97% (0.78 0.78)
Both teams to score 58.52% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.67% (-0.231 -0.23)44.33% (0.239 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.29% (-0.22600000000001 -0.23)66.71% (0.233 0.23)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (-0.49499999999999 -0.49)20.97% (0.502 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28% (-0.783 -0.78)53.72% (0.79000000000001 0.79)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05% (0.364 0.36)25.95% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.04% (0.485 0.48)60.96% (-0.47799999999999 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 42.46%
    Bolton Wanderers 32.97%
    Draw 24.56%
Birmingham CityDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.64% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 42.46%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.119 0.12)
0-1 @ 7.34% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.15 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.089 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.09 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.97%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Bolton

Birmingham City
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Bolton Wanderers
22.2%
81
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Birmingham
0-1
Bolton

Harding (60')
Connolly (71')
Connolly (69'), Noone (96')
Aug 22, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 4
Bolton
1-0
Birmingham
Buckley (73')
Buckley (75'), Olkowski (87')

Kieftenbeld (14'), Gardner (71'), Pedersen (83')
Apr 3, 2018 8pm
Aug 15, 2017 7.45pm
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Reading199463028231
7Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
8Barnsley208662926330
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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