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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Walsall

AFC Wimbledon
5 - 1
Walsall

Bugiel (9', 34', 52'), Curtis (55'), Faal (62' og.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hutchinson (25' pen.)
Faal (45+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 3-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-3 Bradford
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Walsall

Wimbledon have nothing to lose heading into this encounter, which we believe will enable them to come out a lot more relaxed and get the better of a Walsall side that could be rather tense, given the uphill battle they have to make the playoffs and the fact that they have only earned one away triumph in this competition since the beginning of March. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 53.69%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 23.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawWalsall
53.69% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24) 23.14% (0.004999999999999 0) 23.16% (0.231 0.23)
Both teams to score 55.73% (0.278 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.43% (0.229 0.23)44.57% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.06% (0.221 0.22)66.94% (-0.223 -0.22)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.45% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)16.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)46.31% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.77% (0.331 0.33)33.22% (-0.334 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.17% (0.364 0.36)69.83% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 53.69%
    Walsall 23.16%
    Draw 23.14%
AFC WimbledonDrawWalsall
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.9% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.34% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.4% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 53.69%
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.14%
0-1 @ 6.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 23.16%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Walsall

AFC Wimbledon
Draw
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
55.6%
Draw
22.2%
Walsall
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Walsall
3-1
AFC Wimbledon
Hutchinson (5'), Johnson (50'), Knowles (90+3')
Towler (21')
Feb 12, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Walsall
0-1
AFC Wimbledon

Cook (81'), Scarr (93')
Seddon (48')
Hartigan (3'), Oshilaja (15'), Seddon (49')
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
AFC Wimbledon
1-3
Walsall
Appiah (87')
Wordsworth (3')
Morris (16'), Nightingale (70' og.), Cook (79')
Cook (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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