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Championship header 2

League Two
Stockport County
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edgeley Park
AFC Wimbledon

Stockport
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Bailey (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lewis (12'), Balmer (80'), Bugiel (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Stockport County and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stockport County

All competitions
Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Stockport
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Harrogate
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 2-0 AFC Wimbledon

 Stockport County ended the month of March in sparkling form, looking strong across the board in their last two convincing triumphs. Therefore, we believe they will have the upper hand against a Wimbledon side that have not been quite as consistent over 90 minutes and are not nearly as sharp in front of goal as the league leaders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 18.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stockport County.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
58.58% (-0.174 -0.17) 22.83% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 18.59% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 49.91% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (-0.172 -0.17)48.94% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (-0.157 -0.16)71.03% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.61% (-0.119 -0.12)16.39% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.97% (-0.217 -0.22)46.03% (0.217 0.22)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.69% (0.009999999999998 0.01)40.3% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.07% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)76.93% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 58.58%
    AFC Wimbledon 18.59%
    Draw 22.82%
Stockport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 11.94% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.51% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 58.58%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.047 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 22.82%
0-1 @ 6% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.73% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 18.59%

How you voted: Stockport vs AFC Wimbledon

Stockport County
72.2%
Draw
11.1%
AFC Wimbledon
16.7%
18
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
AFC Wimbledon
1-2
Stockport
Davison (32')
Davison (42'), Brown (45+3')
Barry (50'), Collar (62')
Croasdale (45+2'), Wright (68')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Stockport
Pell (48')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Stockport
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Horsfall (11')
Horsfall (53')

Pell (4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe178632115630
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood155732015522
13BarrowBarrow176471716122
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Colchester UnitedColchester173951922-318
19Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
20Bromley163851921-217
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
23Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
24Morecambe1734101729-1213
> League Two Full Table


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