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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Crewe
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Adebisi (13')
Nevitt (85'), Long (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gordon (2')
O'Toole (63'), Davison (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Newport
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-1 AFC Wimbledon

In a pivotal contest in the playoff race, Crewe Alexandra will likely fancy themselves to bounce back to winning ways with home advantage against an AFC Wimbledon side missing several key players. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawAFC Wimbledon
39.98% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 25.95% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 34.07% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.1% (0.135 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.79% (0.173 0.17)50.21% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.83% (0.154 0.15)72.16% (-0.158 -0.16)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25% (0.072000000000003 0.07)24.74% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69% (0.107 0.11)59.3% (-0.111 -0.11)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (0.108 0.11)28.11% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (0.141 0.14)63.78% (-0.145 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 39.98%
    AFC Wimbledon 34.07%
    Draw 25.94%
Crewe AlexandraDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 39.98%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 34.07%

How you voted: Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon

Crewe Alexandra
58.1%
Draw
21.0%
AFC Wimbledon
21.0%
62
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
AFC Wimbledon
2-2
Crewe
Neufville (30'), Tilley (38')
Ogundere (52'), Currie (57')
Tabiner (51'), Nevitt (90+10')
Rowe (90+13'), White (90+7')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Crewe
Assal (45+1')
Adebisi (62')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Crewe
3-1
AFC Wimbledon
Mandron (60'), Long (62'), Sambou (90+8')
Cosgrove (19')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
AFC Wimbledon
3-2
Crewe
Rudoni (24'), Palmer (35', 44' pen.)
Heneghan (81'), Assal (90+2')
Assal (90+4')
Long (11'), Porter (89')
Murphy (44'), Sass-Davies (79'), Williams (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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