League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Crewe0 - 3Carlisle
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Crewe
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-0 Bradford
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Carlisle United
Carlisle will be bidding to make it back-to-back victories on Thursday, and we are backing the visitors to triumph here. Crewe have lost their last three during a disappointing run, and we are predicting a narrow defeat for the home side in this contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Carlisle United |
31.38% ( 0.03) | 26.05% ( -0.06) | 42.56% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.91% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
