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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 2-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
21.97% ( 0.16) | 22.21% ( 0.02) | 55.82% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 57.29% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.24% ( 0.14) | 41.75% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.84% ( 0.14) | 64.16% ( -0.14) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.27% ( 0.23) | 32.73% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.71% ( 0.26) | 69.28% ( -0.26) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.16% ( -0.01) | 14.83% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.86% ( -0.02) | 43.14% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
2-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.42% 2-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 21.97% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.62% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 55.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |