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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Cheltenham Town

Carlisle
0 - 1
Cheltenham


Robson (46'), Neal (69'), Mellish (82'), Sadi (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Archer (17')
Stubbs (29'), Young (55'), Payne (90')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Cheltenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 3-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Bradford
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
35.47% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 25.25% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 39.28% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 56.74% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.08% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)46.92% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.83% (-0.084 -0.08)69.17% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (0.0040000000000049 0)25.71% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (0.009999999999998 0.01)60.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)23.63% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.28% (-0.135 -0.13)57.72% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 35.47%
    Cheltenham Town 39.28%
    Draw 25.25%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.61% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 35.47%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 8.76% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 39.28%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Cheltenham
0-1
Carlisle
Lavelle (42')
Huntington (7'), Robinson (78'), Lavelle (85')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Lavelle (38'), Moxon (67')
Sercombe (27')
Bonds (40'), Freestone (82'), Long (90+5')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 28
Cheltenham
1-1
Carlisle
Hussey (56')
Kayode (33')
Hayden (73'), Mellish (87'), Anderton (90+4')
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Carlisle
1-2
Cheltenham
Mellish (45+3')
Boyle (15'), Thomas (36' pen.)
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Jones (46')
Reid (26')
Broom (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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