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Bromley
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rayners Lane
Carlisle United

Bromley
1 - 1
Carlisle

Cheek (54' pen.)
Thompson (57')
Leigh (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adu-Adjei (90+2')
Guy (37'), Mellish (43'), Burey (51'), Charters (67'), Lavelle (83'), Sadi (90'), Barclay (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Bromley and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-0 Bromley
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Carlisle
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Bromley 1-1 Carlisle United

Though both sides have struggled for results of late, Bromley have at least been difficult to beat at home. However, Carlisle have won their last two fixtures and should come into Saturday's game with some confidence, so it would not be surprising if they left Hayes Lane with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bromley win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bromley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BromleyDrawCarlisle United
38.09% (0.54 0.54) 25.62% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 36.29% (-0.609 -0.61)
Both teams to score 55.54% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.5% (-0.34 -0.34)48.5% (0.343 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.37% (-0.311 -0.31)70.62% (0.31399999999999 0.31)
Bromley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (0.13799999999999 0.14)24.97% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.38% (0.191 0.19)59.61% (-0.189 -0.19)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (-0.502 -0.5)25.97% (0.504 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39% (-0.683 -0.68)60.99% (0.686 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Bromley 38.09%
    Carlisle United 36.29%
    Draw 25.62%
BromleyDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9% (0.161 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.064 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.24% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.09%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.49% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.89% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 36.29%

How you voted: Bromley vs Carlisle

Bromley
53.8%
Draw
7.7%
Carlisle United
38.5%
13
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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