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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Colchester United win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw has a probability of 21.3% and a win for Morecambe has a probability of 15.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Morecambe win it is 0-1 (5.24%).
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Morecambe |
63.31% ( -0.47) | 21.3% ( 0.23) | 15.39% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 48.17% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.11% ( -0.53) | 47.89% ( 0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.93% ( -0.49) | 70.07% ( 0.49) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.51% ( -0.32) | 14.49% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.52% ( -0.61) | 42.47% ( 0.62) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.33% ( 0.01) | 43.67% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.15% ( 0.01) | 79.85% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 11.8% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.42% Total : 63.3% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.3% | 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.5% Total : 15.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 30 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 30 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |