EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 14, 2025 at 7pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Cheltenham2 - 1Colchester
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Third Round clash between Cheltenham Town and Colchester United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Cheltenham
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
34
Last Game: Colchester 0-2 Accrington
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Colchester United |
37.4% ( -0.01) | 25.83% ( 0) | 36.76% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.83% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.59% ( -0.01) | 49.41% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.55% ( -0.01) | 71.45% ( 0.01) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.23% ( -0.01) | 25.77% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.29% ( -0.02) | 60.71% ( 0.01) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.87% ( -0) | 26.13% ( -0) |