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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
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Chesterfield
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Colchester United

Swindon
3 - 2
Colchester

Clarke (15'), Drinan (82'), Cox (90+8' pen.)
Sobowale (45+1'), Barden (60'), Cox (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Payne (44' pen., 61' pen.)
McDonnell (30'), Gordon (45+1'), Iandolo (78')
Iandolo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bromley 1-1 Swindon
Sunday, December 29 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 2-2 Colchester United

At least three or more goals have been scored the last four times these teams have met in a competitive fixture, and we expect another strong attacking display for each on Wednesday, but no one finding that decisive advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
43.92% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 26.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 29.85% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)52.67% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.69% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)74.31% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)23.85% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.97% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)58.03% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.81% (0.015999999999991 0.02)32.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.33% (0.018000000000001 0.02)68.67% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 43.92%
    Colchester United 29.85%
    Draw 26.23%
Swindon TownDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 43.92%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 29.85%

How you voted: Swindon vs Colchester

Swindon Town
56.0%
Draw
28.0%
Colchester United
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Colchester
4-0
Swindon
Smith (10' og.), Tovide (12', 26'), Payne (38')

Cotterill (34'), Hall (43'), McGregor (58')
Nov 2, 2024 3pm
First Round
Swindon
2-1
Colchester
McGregor (83'), Tshimanga (110')
Wright (23'), Smith (85'), McGregor (102')
Anderson (64')
Flanagan (9'), Cowley (11'), McDonnell (23'), Gordon (63'), Hunt (71'), Iandolo (85'), Donnelly (90')
Jan 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Swindon
2-2
Colchester
Austin (18' pen.), Brewitt (43')
Shade (74')
Jay (45+2'), Ihionvien (90+4')
Chilvers (14'), Cowley (15'), Marshall-Miranda (64')
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Colchester
3-1
Swindon
Kinsella (49' og.), Tovide (64'), Chilvers (90+3')
Tovide (49')
Young (23')
Kemp (31'), Kinsella (45')
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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