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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Morecambe has a probability of 36.08% and a draw has a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Morecambe win is 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.62%).
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Morecambe |
37.39% ( 0.18) | 26.53% ( 0.08) | 36.08% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 52.43% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.54% ( -0.35) | 52.46% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.87% ( -0.3) | 74.13% ( 0.31) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.79% ( -0.06) | 27.21% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.37% ( -0.08) | 62.63% ( 0.09) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.03% ( -0.32) | 27.97% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.39% ( -0.41) | 63.61% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.39% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 36.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
14 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
15 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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