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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Morecambe

Carlisle
vs.
Morecambe

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Chesterfield
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two
Next Game: Port Vale vs. Carlisle
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two
Next Game: Morecambe vs. Bromley
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Morecambe has a probability of 36.08% and a draw has a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Morecambe win is 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.62%).

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawMorecambe
37.39% (0.18 0.18) 26.53% (0.084 0.08) 36.08% (-0.26 -0.26)
Both teams to score 52.43% (-0.279 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.54% (-0.353 -0.35)52.46% (0.35700000000001 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.87% (-0.302 -0.3)74.13% (0.306 0.31)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.79% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)27.21% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.37% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)62.63% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (-0.321 -0.32)27.97% (0.325 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.39% (-0.413 -0.41)63.61% (0.418 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 37.39%
    Morecambe 36.08%
    Draw 26.53%
Carlisle UnitedDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.121 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.21% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.45% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.8% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 37.39%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.61% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.41% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 36.08%

Who will win Thursday's League Two clash between Carlisle and Morecambe?

Carlisle United
Draw
Morecambe
Carlisle United
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Morecambe
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2024 7pm
Group Stage
Morecambe
1-2
Carlisle
Hope (16')
Snowball (45+1'), Lewis (76')
O'Donoghue (75'), Williams (78')
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Morecambe
0-2
Carlisle

Gibson (34')
Gibson (49'), Mellor (54')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Morecambe
3-1
Carlisle
Wildig (32'), Diagouraga (37'), Stockton (53')
Lavelle (12'), Mellor (45+2')
Hayden (79')
Alessandra (39')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Carlisle
3-1
Morecambe
Songo'o (1' og.), Mellish (3'), Tanner (87')
Riley (37'), Reilly (89')
Songo'o (79')
O'Sullivan (50'), Songo'o (81')
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 35
Carlisle
2-2
Morecambe
Patrick (45'), Hayden (65')
Watt (51'), Anderton (59'), Webster (90')
Stockton (18'), Wildig (24')
Cranston (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
3Port Vale2010642619736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14BarrowBarrow207582018226
15Bromley195952323024
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
20Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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