Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.54%) and 1-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.