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Walsall
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Crewe Alexandra

MK Dons
3 - 1
Crewe

Dennis (5', 22'), Wearne (25')
Bate (62'), Kemp (70'), Tomlinson (72')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Nevitt (19')
Turns (38'), Cooney (72')
Coverage of the League Two clash between MK Dons and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Sutton
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 57.36%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 21.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCrewe Alexandra
57.36% (0.15 0.15) 21.08% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 21.57% (-0.078999999999997 -0.08)
Both teams to score 60.73% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.04% (0.217 0.22)36.96% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.85% (0.23399999999999 0.23)59.15% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.23% (0.11499999999999 0.11)12.77% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.96% (0.234 0.23)39.04% (-0.232 -0.23)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.61% (0.049999999999997 0.05)30.39% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.42% (0.059000000000005 0.06)66.58% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 57.36%
    Crewe Alexandra 21.57%
    Draw 21.08%
MK DonsDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.98% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.72% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 4% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.46% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.9% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.06% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 57.36%
1-1 @ 9.51% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.88% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.08%
1-2 @ 5.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.62% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 21.57%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Crewe
3-1
MK Dons
Thomas (62'), Baker-Richardson (69'), Long (90')
Thomas (55'), O'Riordan (89'), Rowe (90+2'), Davies (90+3')
Leko (8')
Gilbey (75')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
MK Dons
2-1
Crewe
Parrott (24'), Coventry (40')
Sambou (90+3')
Mandron (86')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Crewe
1-4
MK Dons
Long (52')
Lloyd-Bennett (69')
Eisa (12'), O'Riley (64'), Daniels (82' og.), Watters (90+6')
Twine (58')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 40
MK Dons
0-2
Crewe
Mandron (15', 20')
Lancashire (77'), Wintle (90+5')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Crewe
2-0
MK Dons
Mandron (13'), Finney (20')
Finney (56')

Gladwin (37'), Houghton (57'), Fraser (65'), Morris (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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