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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Walsall

MK Dons
1 - 0
Walsall

Hendry (18')
Hendry (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Weir (13'), Jellis (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 1-0 MK Dons
Monday, September 2 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Walsall (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Walsall

Recent history favours MK Dons in this fixture, but Walsall's excellent start to the campaign cannot be ignored, so this is shaping up to be a very interesting match. We are expecting the points to be shared, though, which would not be the worst result in the world for either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawWalsall
52.63% (-0.126 -0.13) 22.81% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 24.55% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.52% (-0.2 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.36% (-0.29 -0.29)41.64% (0.29499999999999 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.96% (-0.292 -0.29)64.04% (0.298 0.3)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14% (-0.146 -0.15)15.86% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.93% (-0.273 -0.27)45.07% (0.277 0.28)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)30.45% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.35% (-0.135 -0.13)66.65% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 52.63%
    Walsall 24.55%
    Draw 22.81%
MK DonsDrawWalsall
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.89% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 52.63%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.064 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 6.29% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.74% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 24.55%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Walsall

MK Dons
36.0%
Draw
20.0%
Walsall
44.0%
25
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
MK Dons
5-0
Walsall
Tezgel (28'), Dean (59' pen., 78'), Gilbey (62'), Tomlinson (74')

Gordon (68'), Adegboyega (81')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Walsall
0-0
MK Dons
McEntee (27'), Hutchinson (41'), Williams (53')
Harrison (24'), Gilbey (66'), Norman (67')
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Walsall
0-2
MK Dons
Lawrence (62'), Holland (90+3')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Oct 17, 2017 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe178632115630
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood155732015522
13BarrowBarrow176471716122
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Colchester UnitedColchester173951922-318
19Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
20Bromley163851921-217
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
23Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
24Morecambe1734101729-1213


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