Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.