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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | MK Dons |
25.48% ( -0.28) | 24.08% ( 0.04) | 50.43% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 55.22% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.54% ( -0.42) | 46.45% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.26% ( -0.4) | 68.73% ( 0.4) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.72% ( -0.45) | 32.27% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.23% ( -0.51) | 68.77% ( 0.51) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.54% ( -0.07) | 18.46% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.36% ( -0.12) | 49.64% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 25.48% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.08% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.37% Total : 50.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 34 |
2 | Walsall | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 30 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 26 |
8 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
20 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 17 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
23 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
24 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
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