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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Northampton Town |
19.74% ( -0.04) | 24.11% ( 0.05) | 56.15% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.99% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.51% ( -0.24) | 52.49% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.84% ( -0.2) | 74.16% ( 0.2) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.92% ( -0.18) | 41.08% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.37% ( -0.16) | 77.63% ( 0.16) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.45% ( -0.1) | 18.55% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.2% ( -0.16) | 49.8% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.02% 3-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.74% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 10.81% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.07% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 56.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 46 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
4 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Notts County | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Salford City | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 36 |
11 | Bromley | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 35 |
12 | MK Dons | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 34 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
17 | Gillingham | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 31 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 31 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 29 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 28 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 26 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
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