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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Northampton Town

Hartlepool
1 - 1
Northampton

Umerah (37')
Murray (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hoskins (81')
Leonard (89')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
19.74% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 24.11% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 56.15% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.99% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.51% (-0.236 -0.24)52.49% (0.236 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.84% (-0.203 -0.2)74.16% (0.20100000000001 0.2)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.92% (-0.175 -0.18)41.08% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.37% (-0.157 -0.16)77.63% (0.155 0.16)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (-0.095000000000013 -0.1)18.55% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.2% (-0.16 -0.16)49.8% (0.159 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 19.74%
    Northampton Town 56.14%
    Draw 24.1%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 6.78% (0.031 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.02%
3-1 @ 1.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 19.74%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 12.83% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 10.81% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.62% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.07% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 5.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.28% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 56.14%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Northampton
2-1
Hartlepool
Magloire (31'), Appere (57')
Pinnock (39'), Hoskins (58'), Haynes (90+3')
Umerah (45+4')
Menayese (52'), Lacey (58'), Crawford (76')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Northampton
2-0
Hartlepool
Hoskins (6'), Zimba (61')
Mills (29')

Liddle (14'), Bogle (82'), Featherstone (90+1')
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Feb 27, 2016 3pm
Oct 10, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall26184452262658
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe271210534231146
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
4Port Vale2712963328545
5AFC Wimbledon25135737191844
6Notts County26128642271544
7Bradford CityBradford26128637271044
8Salford City2612683023742
9Grimsby Town27122133744-738
10Chesterfield269984031936
11Bromley2681173632435
12MK Dons26105113937235
13Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2697103639-334
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood258983331233
16BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
17Gillingham2594122326-331
18Swindon TownSwindon28710113542-731
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2885152338-1529
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2577113343-1028
21Newport CountyNewport2575133345-1226
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2668121940-2126
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2656152140-1921
24Morecambe2655162241-1920


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