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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 69.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 12.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
69.96% ( -1.7) | 17.55% ( 0.72) | 12.49% ( 0.97) |
Both teams to score 53.01% ( 0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.54% ( -0.86) | 37.46% ( 0.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.32% ( -0.93) | 59.68% ( 0.93) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.39% ( -0.62) | 9.61% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.89% ( -1.47) | 32.11% ( 1.47) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.65% ( 1.02) | 41.35% ( -1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.13% ( 0.89) | 77.87% ( -0.89) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
2-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.36) 4-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.24) 5-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.12) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.22% Total : 69.96% | 1-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.55% | 1-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.48% Total : 12.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 34 |
2 | Walsall | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 30 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 26 |
8 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
20 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 17 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
23 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
24 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |