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Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 14
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Mansfield
1 - 0
Forest Green

Nichols (20')
Nichols (77'), Lewis (84'), Clarke (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Inniss (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 1-4 Crawley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 MK Dons
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Forest Green Rovers

Mansfield may have failed to win any of their last three games against Forest Green, but we think that they will end that run when they face a side that have lost seven of their last nine away league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 69.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 12.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawForest Green Rovers
69.96% (-1.695 -1.7) 17.55% (0.721 0.72) 12.49% (0.974 0.97)
Both teams to score 53.01% (0.564 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.54% (-0.864 -0.86)37.46% (0.86199999999999 0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.32% (-0.933 -0.93)59.68% (0.932 0.93)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.39% (-0.61800000000001 -0.62)9.61% (0.6181 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.89% (-1.467 -1.47)32.11% (1.467 1.47)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.65% (1.019 1.02)41.35% (-1.02 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.13% (0.887 0.89)77.87% (-0.88800000000001 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 69.96%
    Forest Green Rovers 12.49%
    Draw 17.55%
Mansfield TownDrawForest Green Rovers
2-0 @ 10.9% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.134 0.13)
1-0 @ 9.31% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 8.51% (-0.363 -0.36)
3-1 @ 7.52% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.99% (-0.36 -0.36)
4-1 @ 4.4% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.046 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.34% (-0.24 -0.24)
5-1 @ 2.06% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
6-0 @ 0.91% (-0.122 -0.12)
5-2 @ 0.91% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 69.96%
1-1 @ 8.22% (0.338 0.34)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.175 0.18)
0-0 @ 3.97% (0.163 0.16)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.55%
1-2 @ 3.63% (0.245 0.25)
0-1 @ 3.51% (0.237 0.24)
0-2 @ 1.55% (0.145 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 12.49%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Forest Green

Mansfield Town
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Forest Green Rovers
12.5%
48
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Forest Green
0-4
Mansfield

Robson (16'), Thompson (54')
Clarke (11', 90+7'), Nichols (69'), Swan (78')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 46
Mansfield
2-2
Forest Green
Longstaff (17'), Bowery (78')
McLaughlin (37')
Adams (64'), March (80')
March (81')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Forest Green
1-0
Mansfield
March (14')
Matt (39'), Wilson (79'), Adams (84')

Hawkins (11'), Wallace (38'), Hewitt (90')
Lapslie (49')
Mar 23, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 28
Mansfield
0-0
Forest Green
Law (65'), McLaughlin (81'), Reid (82')
Wilson (62')
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Forest Green
1-2
Mansfield
Bailey (85')
Cadden (38'), Winchester (45+2')
Lapslie (6'), Charsley (35')
Benning (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe178632115630
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood155732015522
13BarrowBarrow176471716122
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Colchester UnitedColchester173951922-318
19Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
20Bromley163851921-217
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
23Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
24Morecambe1734101729-1213


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