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Walsall
Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 14
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Mansfield
1 - 0
Forest Green

Nichols (20')
Nichols (77'), Lewis (84'), Clarke (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Inniss (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 1-4 Crawley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 MK Dons
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Forest Green Rovers

Mansfield may have failed to win any of their last three games against Forest Green, but we think that they will end that run when they face a side that have lost seven of their last nine away league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 69.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 12.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawForest Green Rovers
69.96% (-1.695 -1.7) 17.55% (0.721 0.72) 12.49% (0.974 0.97)
Both teams to score 53.01% (0.564 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.54% (-0.864 -0.86)37.46% (0.86199999999999 0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.32% (-0.933 -0.93)59.68% (0.932 0.93)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.39% (-0.61800000000001 -0.62)9.61% (0.6181 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.89% (-1.467 -1.47)32.11% (1.467 1.47)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.65% (1.019 1.02)41.35% (-1.02 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.13% (0.887 0.89)77.87% (-0.88800000000001 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 69.96%
    Forest Green Rovers 12.49%
    Draw 17.55%
Mansfield TownDrawForest Green Rovers
2-0 @ 10.9% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.134 0.13)
1-0 @ 9.31% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 8.51% (-0.363 -0.36)
3-1 @ 7.52% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.99% (-0.36 -0.36)
4-1 @ 4.4% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.046 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.34% (-0.24 -0.24)
5-1 @ 2.06% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
6-0 @ 0.91% (-0.122 -0.12)
5-2 @ 0.91% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 69.96%
1-1 @ 8.22% (0.338 0.34)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.175 0.18)
0-0 @ 3.97% (0.163 0.16)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.55%
1-2 @ 3.63% (0.245 0.25)
0-1 @ 3.51% (0.237 0.24)
0-2 @ 1.55% (0.145 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 12.49%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Forest Green

Mansfield Town
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Forest Green Rovers
12.5%
48
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Forest Green
0-4
Mansfield

Robson (16'), Thompson (54')
Clarke (11', 90+7'), Nichols (69'), Swan (78')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 46
Mansfield
2-2
Forest Green
Longstaff (17'), Bowery (78')
McLaughlin (37')
Adams (64'), March (80')
March (81')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Forest Green
1-0
Mansfield
March (14')
Matt (39'), Wilson (79'), Adams (84')

Hawkins (11'), Wallace (38'), Hewitt (90')
Lapslie (49')
Mar 23, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 28
Mansfield
0-0
Forest Green
Law (65'), McLaughlin (81'), Reid (82')
Wilson (62')
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Forest Green
1-2
Mansfield
Bailey (85')
Cadden (38'), Winchester (45+2')
Lapslie (6'), Charsley (35')
Benning (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Salford City24126629191042
3Port Vale2511862925441
4AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
5Notts County24117638261240
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe2310942921839
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11Bromley2381053426834
12MK Dons2310493631534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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