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Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Stockport County

Forest Green
0 - 3
Stockport


Osadebe (33'), Bunker (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Camps (18'), Richards (28'), Lemonheigh-Evans (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 5-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 23 at 5.15pm in League Two

We said: Forest Green Rovers 0-4 Stockport County

Stockport's emphatic victory against their promotion rivals MK Dons last time out could prove to be a hugely important one, not least as it is likely to breathe new fire into their final eight matches of the season. Forest Green have lost successive games in recent weeks and we would be amazed if that is not extended to three by the time that the referee's full-time whistle blows on Friday, and they may be lucky to avoid a thrashing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawStockport County
19.47% (0.029 0.03) 22.59% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 57.94% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.18% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)46.69% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.04% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)68.95% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.99% (0.027000000000001 0.03)38.01% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.22% (0.024000000000001 0.02)74.78% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.17% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)15.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)45% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 19.47%
    Stockport County 57.94%
    Draw 22.58%
Forest Green RoversDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 5.82% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 19.47%
1-1 @ 10.72%
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.58%
0-1 @ 11.09%
0-2 @ 10.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.08% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.9% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.8% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 57.94%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Stockport

Forest Green Rovers
10.5%
Draw
10.5%
Stockport County
78.9%
19
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Stockport
2-0
Forest Green
Olaofe (15'), Sarcevic (35')
Southam-Hales (47')

Lavinier (39')
Lavinier (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
18Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
19Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
21Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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