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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
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Carlisle United
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Morecambe
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Mansfield Town
League Two | 1st Leg
May 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
Northampton Town

Mansfield
2 - 1
Northampton

Oates (13'), Bowery (32')
Maris (50'), Perch (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Koiki (61')
McWilliams (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Northampton Town

Despite their lengthy unbeaten streak, Saturday could have taken a lot out of Northampton. Even with Mansfield having failed to win either of their last two fixtures, we feel that the home side should capitalise on the mindset of their opponents to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawNorthampton Town
42.03%26.55%31.41%
Both teams to score 51.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64%53.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1%74.9%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9%25.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.21%59.79%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.57%31.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.2%67.8%
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 42.03%
    Northampton Town 31.41%
    Draw 26.55%
Mansfield TownDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 7.54%
3-1 @ 4.02%
3-0 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.03%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 7.89%
2-2 @ 5.05%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 9.13%
1-2 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 5.28%
1-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.41%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Northampton

Mansfield Town
68.8%
Draw
12.5%
Northampton Town
18.8%
32
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Northampton
2-0
Mansfield
McGowan (23'), Horsfall (74')
Etete (24'), Horsfall (75')

Charsley (41')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Northampton
1-2
Mansfield
Smith (90+5')
Goode (31'), Oliver (54'), McCormack (62'), Smith (62'), Adams (90+3')
Hoskins (10')
Rose (12' pen.), Tomlinson (74')
Tomlinson (31')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Mansfield
1-1
Northampton
Cook (74')
Clarke (36'), Benning (59'), Cook (72'), Bishop (94'), Preston (97')
Smith (84')
McCormack (12'), Turnbull (38'), Anderson (56'), Watson (56')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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