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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 73.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 10.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 3-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Sutton United |
73.78% ( 1.17) | 16.15% ( -0.49) | 10.06% ( -0.69) |
Both teams to score 49.49% ( -0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.32% ( 0.22) | 37.67% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.09% ( 0.23) | 59.91% ( -0.24) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.22% ( 0.32) | 8.77% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.87% ( 0.78) | 30.12% ( -0.79) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.25% ( -1.17) | 45.75% ( 1.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.47% ( -0.93) | 81.52% ( 0.91) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Sutton United |
2-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.18) 5-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.09) 6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.32% Total : 73.77% | 1-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.87% Total : 16.15% | 0-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.76% Total : 10.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |