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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 51.14%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 25.79% and a draw has a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Newport County win is 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.67%).
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Newport County |
51.14% ( -0.27) | 23.07% ( 0.03) | 25.79% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 58.96% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.35% ( 0.09) | 41.65% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.95% ( 0.09) | 64.05% ( -0.1) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.61% ( -0.06) | 16.39% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.96% ( -0.11) | 46.04% ( 0.11) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.52% ( 0.24) | 29.48% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.51% ( 0.29) | 65.48% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Newport County |
2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 51.14% | 1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 25.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 58 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 49 |
3 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 47 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 45 |
7 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
8 | Salford City | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 43 |
9 | Chesterfield | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 39 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Bromley | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 35 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
16 | Swindon TownSwindon | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Gillingham | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 31 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 29 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 29 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
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