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Championship header 2

League Two
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 12.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
MK Dons

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
MK Dons

Curtis (90+4')
Little (28'), Kelly (36'), Bugiel (77'), Reeves (85'), O'Toole (90+2'), Curtis (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kelly (4'), Wearne (29'), Harvie (55'), Lofthouse (56'), Gilbey (65'), Norman (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 3-0 Newport
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 MK Dons

 AFC Wimbledon have struggled for goals since they sold Al-Hamadi to Ipswich Town, while they have also not won against MK Dons in the league since 2017. MK Dons head into the game in much better form than their opponents and with clinical Kemp leading the line, we back the Dons to record their first-ever league double over Wimbledon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawMK Dons
44.82% (-0.192 -0.19) 24.44% (0.169 0.17) 30.74% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.99% (-0.573 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.39% (-0.756 -0.76)44.6% (0.754 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.03% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)66.97% (0.733 0.73)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.97% (-0.39 -0.39)20.02% (0.388 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.77% (-0.631 -0.63)52.23% (0.629 0.63)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)27.48% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01% (-0.467 -0.47)62.98% (0.465 0.46)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 44.82%
    MK Dons 30.74%
    Draw 24.43%
AFC WimbledonDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 44.82%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.178 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 7.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.11% (0.159 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.59% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.74%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs MK Dons

AFC Wimbledon
7.1%
Draw
42.9%
MK Dons
50.0%
14
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
MK Dons
3-1
AFC Wimbledon
Kemp (10'), Johnson (16' og.), O'Hora (22')
Payne (79')
Little (53')
Tilley (56')
Biler (65'), Kalambayi (73')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
MK Dons
Woodyard (19')
Heneghan (36'), Assal (45+1'), Marsh (67')
Parrott (80')
Harvie (40'), O'Hora (45+1')
Jan 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
MK Dons
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
O'Riley (29')

Guinness-Walker (23')
Guinness-Walker (36')
> Preview
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
MK Dons

Guinness-Walker (50'), Reilly (73')
O'Riley (60'), Sorinola (63')
Laird (52')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 10
MK Dons
1-1
AFC Wimbledon
Fraser (13')
Sorinola (34'), Harvie (90+3')
Pigott (10')
Reilly (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Browns
32-41
Broncos
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe178632115630
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood155732015522
13BarrowBarrow176471716122
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Colchester UnitedColchester173951922-318
19Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
20Bromley163851921-217
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
23Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
24Morecambe1734101729-1213
> League Two Full Table


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