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Championship header 2

League Two
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 12.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
MK Dons

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
MK Dons

Curtis (90+4')
Little (28'), Kelly (36'), Bugiel (77'), Reeves (85'), O'Toole (90+2'), Curtis (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kelly (4'), Wearne (29'), Harvie (55'), Lofthouse (56'), Gilbey (65'), Norman (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 3-0 Newport
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 MK Dons

 AFC Wimbledon have struggled for goals since they sold Al-Hamadi to Ipswich Town, while they have also not won against MK Dons in the league since 2017. MK Dons head into the game in much better form than their opponents and with clinical Kemp leading the line, we back the Dons to record their first-ever league double over Wimbledon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawMK Dons
44.82% (-0.192 -0.19) 24.44% (0.169 0.17) 30.74% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.99% (-0.573 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.39% (-0.756 -0.76)44.6% (0.754 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.03% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)66.97% (0.733 0.73)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.97% (-0.39 -0.39)20.02% (0.388 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.77% (-0.631 -0.63)52.23% (0.629 0.63)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)27.48% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01% (-0.467 -0.47)62.98% (0.465 0.46)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 44.82%
    MK Dons 30.74%
    Draw 24.43%
AFC WimbledonDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 44.82%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.178 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 7.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.11% (0.159 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.59% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.74%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs MK Dons

AFC Wimbledon
7.1%
Draw
42.9%
MK Dons
50.0%
14
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
MK Dons
3-1
AFC Wimbledon
Kemp (10'), Johnson (16' og.), O'Hora (22')
Payne (79')
Little (53')
Tilley (56')
Biler (65'), Kalambayi (73')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
MK Dons
Woodyard (19')
Heneghan (36'), Assal (45+1'), Marsh (67')
Parrott (80')
Harvie (40'), O'Hora (45+1')
Jan 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
MK Dons
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
O'Riley (29')

Guinness-Walker (23')
Guinness-Walker (36')
> Preview
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
MK Dons

Guinness-Walker (50'), Reilly (73')
O'Riley (60'), Sorinola (63')
Laird (52')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 10
MK Dons
1-1
AFC Wimbledon
Fraser (13')
Sorinola (34'), Harvie (90+3')
Pigott (10')
Reilly (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Salford City24126629191042
3Port Vale2511862925441
4AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
5Notts County24117638261240
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe2310942921839
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11Bromley2381053426834
12MK Dons2310493631534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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