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Championship header 2

League Two
Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 28
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields
Mansfield Town

Northampton
1 - 0
Mansfield

Hoskins (28' pen.)
J (5'), Haynes (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wallace (4'), Pym (27'), Law (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Northampton Town and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-3 Mansfield
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Northampton Town 1-2 Mansfield Town

 Even with their treatment room nearing full capacity, Mansfield's continued commitment to attacking has been admirable, and Northampton's resistance should prove futile at a ground where success has often eluded them in recent times. Also working around jellied legs and their own injury crisis, Tuesday's recipe is seemingly one for defeat for Brady's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
31.82% (-1.192 -1.19) 28.09% (0.149 0.15) 40.08% (1.042 1.04)
Both teams to score 46.93% (-0.732 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.94% (-0.77500000000001 -0.78)59.05% (0.772 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.49% (-0.601 -0.6)79.51% (0.59899999999999 0.6)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-1.242 -1.24)34.08% (1.24 1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.23% (-1.358 -1.36)70.76% (1.356 1.36)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19% (0.22500000000001 0.23)28.81% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (0.279 0.28)64.66% (-0.28 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 31.83%
    Mansfield Town 40.07%
    Draw 28.09%
Northampton TownDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.08% (-0.232 -0.23)
2-0 @ 5.69% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 31.83%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.82% (0.283 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.115 -0.11)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.09%
0-1 @ 12.21% (0.42 0.42)
1-2 @ 8.18% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.6% (0.311 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.148 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 40.07%

How you voted: Northampton vs Mansfield

Northampton Town
43.5%
Draw
21.7%
Mansfield Town
34.8%
23
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Mansfield
1-1
Northampton
Swan (84')
Harbottle (7')
Hoskins (88')
May 18, 2022 7.45pm
Northampton
0-1
Mansfield

Pinnock (87'), Horsfall (90+2')
McLaughlin (32')
O'Toole (53'), Wallace (63')
May 14, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
2-1
Northampton
Oates (13'), Bowery (32')
Maris (50'), Perch (61')
Koiki (61')
McWilliams (22')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Mansfield
1-0
Northampton
Hawkins (21')
McLaughlin (5'), Hewitt (65'), Stirk (85')

Lewis (75')
Lewis (75')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Northampton
2-0
Mansfield
McGowan (23'), Horsfall (74')
Etete (24'), Horsfall (75')

Charsley (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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