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Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Gillingham

Notts County
1 - 3
Gillingham

Crowley (13')
Bostock (45+3'), McGoldrick (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Hawkins (19'), Clark (35'), Masterson (53')
Clemence (0'), Dieng (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Notts County and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-2 Gillingham

Notts County will be keen to end their four-game winless run in Friday's contest, but we think that they may have to settle for a share of the spoils against a Gillingham side that has lost just one of their last six matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawGillingham
51.55% (-0.169 -0.17) 22.02% (0.053999999999998 0.05) 26.43% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 63.37% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.88% (-0.16 -0.16)36.12% (0.15799999999999 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.77% (-0.174 -0.17)58.23% (0.172 0.17)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.73% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)14.27% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.95% (-0.216 -0.22)42.04% (0.213 0.21)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)26.08% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)61.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 51.55%
    Gillingham 26.43%
    Draw 22.02%
Notts CountyDrawGillingham
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.25% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.9% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 51.55%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.02%
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 5% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 26.43%

How you voted: Notts County vs Gillingham

Notts County
81.8%
Draw
3.0%
Gillingham
15.2%
33
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Gillingham
1-2
Notts County
Malone (52')
Malone (52'), Lapslie (77')
Langstaff (38'), Macarai (78')
O'Brien (84'), Cameron (90+6'), McGoldrick (90+6')
May 3, 2015 12.15pm
Gillingham
3-1
Notts County
Egan (88'), Dickenson (93'), Norris (95')
Egan (88')
Burke (61')
Adams (50'), Burke (61'), McCourt (92')
Oct 4, 2014 3pm
Dec 7, 2013 3pm
Oct 22, 2013 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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