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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
52.16% ( 0.55) | 21.02% ( -0.15) | 26.81% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 67.51% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.13% ( 0.4) | 30.87% ( -0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.77% ( 0.47) | 52.23% ( -0.47) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.74% ( 0.3) | 12.25% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.02% ( 0.62) | 37.98% ( -0.62) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.94% ( -0.05) | 23.05% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.11% ( -0.07) | 56.88% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.72% Total : 52.16% | 1-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.02% | 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 26.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |